What to make of those headlines that AI can’t reason, seen by tens of millions? I cover the paper in layman’s terms, what it means and doesn’t mean, and what’s next.

Thanks to Storyblocks for sponsoring this video! Download unlimited stock media at one set price with Storyblocks: https://storyblocks.com/AIExplained

Plus o3-pro and whether it is my current most-recommended model.

AI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained

Chapters:
00:00 - Introduction
00:57 - Viral Post + Headlines
01:42 - Apple Paper Analysis
08:34 - But they do Hallucinate
10:43 - Not Supercomputers
11:18 - o3 Pro and Recommendations


13.7M Tweet: https://x.com/RubenHssd/status/1931389580105925115

Apple Paper: https://ml-site.cdn-apple.com/papers/the-illusion-of-thinking.pdf

Guardian Article: https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2025/jun/09/apple-artificial-intelligence-ai-study-collapse

Lisan al Gaib post: https://x.com/scaling01/status/1931854370716426246

Multiplication: https://x.com/yuntiandeng/status/1836114401213989366

The Illusion of the Illusion of Thinking: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1Zx9ikRj0Enc3SB4wA9HlYIlpmO_8QiUO/view

Marcus: https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2025/jun/10/billion-dollar-ai-puzzle-break-down

Prof Rao: https://x.com/rao2z/status/1927707640223719631

AI Job Headlines: https://www.nytimes.com/2025/06/11/technology/ai-mechanize-jobs.html
https://www.axios.com/2025/05/28/ai-jobs-white-collar-unemployment-anthropic

Sky News Story: https://news.sky.com/story/can-we-trust-chatgpt-despite-it-hallucinating-answers-13380975

Veo 3 Ad: https://x.com/Kalshi/status/1932891608388681791

Altman Essay: https://blog.samaltman.com/

o3 Original benchmarks: https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5b8b6c44-acd6-43b3-b5c6-1a1d5c6c25e4_2486x1388.png

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GfQ0bfcXQAAQt13.jpg

Alpha Evolve Video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RH4hAgvYSzg

https://simple-bench.com/


Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/

There’s a new best language model, so let’s go through the up and downs of Gemini 2.5 Pro 06-05. Record-breaking common-sense, but dumb mistakes remain. And it’s not even their best model, which remains behind the scenes - Gemini 2.5 Ultra. Plus Sundar Pichai’s AGI date and an analysis of whether the current AI unemployment headlines are justified, and Elevenlabs v3.


https://emergentmind.com


AI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained

Chapters:
00:00 - Introduction
02:04 - Gemini 2.5 Ultra
03:34 - Benchmarks
07:41 - AGI Date and Meaning Pichai
09:13 - Jobs and AI Unemployment Fears
15:28 - Elevenlabs v3

Sundar Pichai Fridman: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9V6tWC4CdFQ

Pichai More Jobs (until 2026 at least): https://www.techradar.com/pro/alphabet-ceo-sundar-pichai-says-ai-wont-lead-to-job-cuts-will-be-an-accelerator

Gemini Comparison: https://blog.google/products/gemini/gemini-2-5-pro-latest-preview/
https://x.com/viathebrink/status/1930733154203292121

https://simple-bench.com/

White Collar Bloodbath: https://www.axios.com/2025/05/28/ai-jobs-white-collar-unemployment-anthropic
https://fortune.com/2025/05/25/ai-entry-level-jobs-gen-z-careers-young-workers-linkedin/
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/05/19/opinion/linkedin-ai-entry-level-jobs.html
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/03/25/business/economy/white-collar-layoffs.html

College Unemployment: https://www.newyorkfed.org/research/college-labor-market/#--:explore:unemployment

New Scientist AI Hallucinaitons: https://www.newscientist.com/article/2479545-ai-hallucinations-are-getting-worse-and-theyre-here-to-stay/

Duolingo: https://fortune.com/2025/05/24/duolingo-ai-first-employees-ceo-luis-von-ahn/
Klarna: https://www.forbes.com/sites/quickerbettertech/2025/05/18/business-tech-news-klarna-reverses-on-ai-says-customers-like-talking-to-people/

Sholto Douglas: https://www.reddit.com/r/ClaudeAI/comments/1ktt1rb/anthropics_sholto_douglas_says_by_202728_its/

Figure 02: https://x.com/adcock_brett/status/1930693311771332853

Elevenlabs v3: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zv_IoWIO5Ek

Gemini Speech Generation: https://aistudio.google.com/generate-speech


Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/

Not only did I get early access and ran my own tests, as per the title I read both the 120 page Claude 4 Opus and Claude 4 Sonnet System Card, and 25 page report on ASL-3 being triggered, plus the 2 hour launch video, and surrounding coverage. Ft. coding tests, Simple, twitter controversies, deep alignment coverage, spiritual bliss and much more!

https://80000hours.org/aiexplained

Chapters:

00:00 - Introduction
01:12 - 3 Quick Controversies

02:42 - Benchmark Results

04:20 - 120 page Card 20 Highlights

10:07 - Coding Test
11:27 - Model Welfare and Spiritual Bliss

13:29 - ASL-3

Claude Card: https://www-cdn.anthropic.com/4263b940cabb546aa0e3283f35b686f4f3b2ff47.pdf?s=09
ASL 3:https://www-cdn.anthropic.com/807c59454757214bfd37592d6e048079cd7a7728.pdf

Tweets: https://x.com/fish_kyle3/status/1925597284546629753

https://x.com/EMostaque/status/1925624164527874452?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Etweet

Cursor Says State of the Art for Coding: https://x.com/cursor_ai/status/1925594428095561941

Benchmarks: https://www.anthropic.com/news/claude-4

Google just announced at least 12 things that are each worthy of a video, but here are the top I/O highlights. From Veo 3 to Deep Research now being useable, Deep Think breaking records to Gemini Diffusion, Gemini 2.5 Flash changing how AI is priced and GemmaVerse, SynthID Detector and Imagen 4. And even this intro is missing other announcements covered in the vid! And yes, they’ll be plenty of Veo 3 clips to enjoy…

https://80000hours.org/aiexplained

AI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained

Chapters:
00:00 - Introduction
00:48 - Veo 3
02:10 - Gemini 2.5 Flash
03:13 - Universal Assistant
03:47 - Usage Skyrockets + OpenAI dig
04:51 - Gemini Pro Deep Think
06:21 - Overviews and AI Mode
07:26 - Deep Research Updates (new) + Jules
08:53 - Make and Deploy Apps with Gemini
09:12 - Imagen 4
10:00 - Gemini Diffusion
11:46 - Try It On
12:17 - SynthID Detector
13:30 - GemmaVerse, SignGemma, Gemma3n, medGemma
14:24 - Outro + Clips

Event: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o8NiE3XMPrM
Ntaive Audio: https://aistudio.google.com/generate-speech
Gemini Diffusion: https://deepmind.google/models/gemini-diffusion/#capabilities
New Gemini 2.5 Flash: https://deepmind.google/models/gemini/flash/
SignGemma (See end of this vid): https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GjvgtwSOCao
Deep Think: https://blog.google/technology/google-deepmind/google-gemini-updates-io-2025/#flash-improvements
Google Parallel Sampling: https://www.patreon.com/posts/next-level-good-127441188

Price Plans: https://blog.google/products/google-one/google-ai-ultra/
Imagen 4 Benchmarks: https://deepmind.google/models/imagen/
Jules: https://jules.google/
SynthID Detector: https://blog.google/technology/ai/google-synthid-ai-content-detector/
Veo 3 Benchmarks: https://deepmind.google/models/veo/evals/
MedGemma: https://deepmind.google/models/gemma/medgemma/
Build Apps: https://aistudio.google.com/apps


Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/

AlphaEvolve is not the first system to exhibit self-improvement, but it may be the most impressive yet. AI is literally improving the hardware, architectures, data and training methods of AI itself. A deep dive into the paper, drawing on two previous interviews and 5 other papers. Plus a snippet on OpenAI’s new Codex system.

Gray Swan: http://app.grayswan.ai/ai-explained

AI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained

Chapters:
00:00 - Introduction
00:27 - AlphaEvolve
05:23 - Limitation
06:10 - Achievements
08:21 - Future Improvements
13:30 - Quirks
16:34 - Final Thoughts

AlphaEvolve release: https://deepmind.google/discover/blog/alphaevolve-a-gemini-powered-coding-agent-for-designing-advanced-algorithms/

Paper: https://storage.googleapis.com/deepmind-media/DeepMind.com/Blog/alphaevolve-a-gemini-powered-coding-agent-for-designing-advanced-algorithms/AlphaEvolve.pdf

Terence Tao Quote: https://mathstodon.xyz/@tao/114508029896631083

Nature Article: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-022-05172-4
MIT Article: https://www.technologyreview.com/2025/05/14/1116438/google-deepminds-new-ai-uses-large-language-models-to-crack-real-world-problems/
AI Co-Scientist: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2502.18864

OpenAI Codex: https://openai.com/index/introducing-codex/


70% of Pull Requests: https://x.com/slow_developer/status/1920920456393028027

Amodei Essay: https://www.darioamodei.com/essay/machines-of-loving-grace

OpenAI Jason Wei Tweet: https://x.com/_jasonwei/status/1923091260354531612

PromptBreeder: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2309.16797
DrEureka: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2406.01967

FT DeepMind: https://www.ft.com/content/4e497a91-670a-4f69-be4a-18e247daba3e



Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/

A green card, o3 vs Gemini 2.5, 6 Benchmarks and a whole bunch of my thoughts on what on earth is happening in AI, from here to 2030. Plus, how AI is becoming pay-to-win, and why. Crazy times, 14 mins probably wasn’t enough.

https://app.grayswan.ai/ai-explained

AI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained

Chapters:
00:00 - Introduction
00:33 - FictionLiveBench
01:37 - PHYBench
02:14 - SimpleBench
02:54 - Virology Capabilities Test
03:13 - Mathematics Performance
04:29 - Vision Benchmarks
05:43 - V* and how o3 works
06:44 - Revenue and costs for you
08:54 - Expensive RL and trade-offs
09:40 - How to spend the OOMs
13:27 - Gray Swan Arena

Green Card: https://techcrunch.com/2025/04/25/an-openai-researcher-who-worked-on-gpt-4-5-had-their-green-card-denied/
PHYBench: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2504.16074Virologytest: https://www.virologytest.ai/
How o3 Vision Works: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2312.14135 https://x.com/sainingxie/status/1912570624523829573
Visual puzzles: https://neulab.github.io/VisualPuzzles/
Fiction Bench: https://x.com/ficlive/status/1912863028141244850
https://geobench.org/
https://simple-bench.com/
AIME 2025: https://openai.com/index/introducing-o3-and-o4-mini/
USAMO: https://x.com/mbalunovic/status/1914398518896193747
NaturalBench: https://linzhiqiu.github.io/papers/naturalbench/
Where’s Waldo: https://uk.pinterest.com/pin/492792384225896298/
IMO and AlphaProof:https://deepmind.google/discover/blog/ai-solves-imo-problems-at-silver-medal-level/
Crazy Revenue: https://www.theinformation.com/articles/openai-forecasts-revenue-topping-125-billion-2029-agents-new-products-gain?rc=sy0ihq
Number of Users: https://www.theinformation.com/briefings/googles-gemini-user-numbers-revealed-court?rc=sy0ihq
Subscriptions pay to win: https://www.forbes.com/sites/paulmonckton/2025/04/23/google-leak-reveals-new-gemini-ai-subscription-levels/
GPU Trade-offs: https://x.com/sama/status/1915098951067554030
RL Scale-up Amodei: https://www.darioamodei.com/post/on-deepseek-and-export-controls
Log-linear Returns: https://x.com/bobmcgrewai/status/1895228291981943265
2030 Scaling: https://epoch.ai/blog/can-ai-scaling-continue-through-2030
Model Size: https://x.com/slow_developer/status/1874554473256997201
Adam on AGI: https://x.com/TheRealAdamG/status/1913998366632968381
Papers on Patreon: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2502.01839
https://arxiv.org/pdf/2504.13837
Chollet Quote: https://x.com/fchollet/status/1912934762580447447
OpenSim: https://opensim.stanford.edu/


Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/

Critical analysis of the two most powerful new models behind ChatGPT, o3 and o4-mini. Not just the system cards, benchmarks, and my own tests, but some you may not have seen before. Yes, they can whip up amazing front-end in a few seconds, but you always have to ask what is in their data. Either way, they prove the gains from RL are just beginning…

https://weave-docs.wandb.ai/?utm_source=sponsorship&utm_medium=simple_bench&utm_campaign=ai_explained

AI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained


Chapters:
00:00 - o3 and o4-mini


https://simple-bench.com/

Plus, Teams and Pro, plus token count: https://x.com/btibor91/status/1912568994512662679

System Card: https://openai.com/index/o3-o4-mini-system-card/

Release Notes: https://openai.com/index/introducing-o3-and-o4-mini/

https://deepmind.google/technologies/gemini/pro/

https://x.com/DeryaTR_/status/1912558350794961168

https://x.com/polynoamial/status/1912564068168450396

API Pricing:https://openai.com/api/pricing/

https://aider.chat/docs/leaderboards/


Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/

This pod won’t just be about the release of GPT 4.1 in the last 48 hours, o3 build-up, Kling 2.0, a sneak-peak at the next OpenAI model, or even the new Dolphin language tool. It will be about 7 such stories that contextualise where we are in AI and what is happening.

https://www.emergentmind.com/

Chapters:

00:00 - Introduction

00:30 - Kling 2.0

01:35 - GPT 4.1

05:25 - o3 Build-up

07:37 - ‘Product Company’

09:31 - Safe Superintelligence

10:54 - DolphinGemma

13:16 - Data Dominance?

Kling 2.0: https://app.klingai.com/global/release-notes

Dolphin Gemma: https://blog.google/technology/ai/dolphingemma/?s=09

https://openai.com/index/gpt-4-1/

OpenAI o3 Build-up The Information: https://www.theinformation.com/articles/openais-latest-breakthrough-ai-comes-new-ideas?rc=sy0ihq

Physical reasoning: https://x.com/a_karvonen/status/1911839968990814503

Fiction Live.bench: https://x.com/ficlive/status/1911853409847906626

Altman Ted: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5MWT_doo68k

https://simple-bench.com/try-yourself

https://aider.chat/docs/leaderboards/

4.5: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6nJZopACRuQ

Geospatial reasoning: https://research.google/blog/geospatial-reasoning-unlocking-insights-with-generative-ai-and-multiple-foundation-models/

Pioneers: https://x.com/OpenAIDevs/status/1910017976256119151

Evals: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=scsW6_2SPC4

Anthropic Updates: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-04-15/anthropic-is-readying-a-voice-assistant-feature-to-rival-openai?srnd=phx-ai

https://x.com/sethsaler/status/1912188383457059301

https://techcrunch.com/2025/04/12/openai-co-founder-ilya-sutskevers-safe-superintelligence-reportedly-valued-at-32b/

https://ai.meta.com/blog/llama-4-multimodal-intelligence/

https://deepmind.google/technologies/gemini/pro/

https://research.google/blog/accelerating-scientific-breakthroughs-with-an-ai-co-scientist/

https://blog.google/products/google-cloud/ironwood-tpu-age-of-inference/

OpenAI Documentary: https://www.patreon.com/posts/one-machine-to-121940490